

German political scientist
Elisabeth Noelle-Neumann (born 19 December 1916 in Berlin; died 25 March 2010 in Allensbach) was a German communication scholar, opinion researcher and founder of the Institut für Demoskopie Allensbach. She made representative surveys a regular instrument for observing politics and society in the Federal Republic of Germany. Internationally she became known for her theory of the spiral of silence.
Noelle studied in Berlin, Königsberg, Munich and the United States. In 1940 she received her doctorate under Emil Dovifat with a study of American mass surveys. Her early journalistic work during the Nazi period was later critically examined, including publications in National Socialist media and antisemitic formulations. Noelle-Neumann rejected the accusation that she had been a Nazi; the debate remained part of the assessment of her person and work.
After the war she and her husband Erich Peter Neumann founded the Institut für Demoskopie Allensbach on Lake Constance. Work began in 1947, and in 1948 the institute was registered as a GmbH. Allensbach relied on representative surveys, personal interviews and regular time series. It became a formative address for election, media, market and social research in West Germany and later in the Federal Republic.
Noelle-Neumann understood polling as a method for measuring attitudes, expectations and political moods. Her surveys were read by parties, media, companies and public authorities. For that reason her work was also contested: critics saw Allensbach as close to conservative political milieus, while supporters emphasised methodological continuity and the long data collection.
In 1974 Noelle-Neumann published The Spiral of Silence: A Theory of Public Opinion in the Journal of Communication. The theory describes how people are more likely to withhold an opinion when they believe it could isolate them socially. Media, conversation and perceived majorities play a role. The spiral of silence was widely discussed, tested, criticised and further developed in communication research.
Noelle-Neumann taught at the University of Mainz and from 1964 served there as associate professor. She received several honours, including the Great Cross of Merit in 1976 and the Order of Merit of Baden-Württemberg in 1990. In 1996 the Stiftung Demoskopie Allensbach was founded; Noelle-Neumann transferred her ownership of the institute to the foundation. The step was intended to preserve the research institution over the long term.
Elisabeth Noelle-Neumann died in Allensbach on 25 March 2010. She was 93 years old. Her career connects the institutionalisation of opinion research in Germany, an internationally discussed theory of public opinion and a burdened early journalistic past.